Galaxy Securities: The equity market rebounded, and the improved double-low strategy exceeded 9% during the year. According to china galaxy Securities, the last cycle (11.26-12.9) recorded 2.3%, 1.7% and 3.2% respectively (the benchmark for the same period was 2.7%). Since the beginning of this year, the performance of the three types of strategies has been 8.5%, 8.6% and 15.1% respectively (the benchmark for the same period is 6.6%), and the cumulative excess rate of return is 2-9%. In the last cycle, the equity market rebounded and repaired. Wandequan A rose by 4.05%, and CSI convertible bonds followed (2.68%), among which the double-low style (3.25%) rose higher, and the low-price enhancement and low-price large-market strategy slightly underperformed the benchmark, and the double-low improvement strategy continued to dominate.Expert: Central enterprises will continue to recruit in A-shares. On the evening of December 9, Huada Jiutian, a domestic EDA leader, announced that China Electronic Information Industry Group Co., Ltd. will become the actual controller of the company. So far, the number of A-share listed companies "incorporated" by central enterprises reached 10 in 2024. The end of 2024 is an important node for central enterprises to optimize the layout of listed platforms. The Work Plan for Improving the Quality of Listed Companies Controlled by Central Enterprises previously issued by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council made it clear that the adjustment and revitalization of the listing platform should be basically completed by the end of 2024, and it is supported to revitalize through absorption and merger, asset restructuring and cross-market operation, or to withdraw through free transfer and equity transfer, so as to further focus on the main business and advantageous areas. Looking forward to the next layout rhythm of central enterprises in the capital market, many experts interviewed by reporters believe that the pace of "recruiting" of central enterprises in A shares will continue. In the coming period, the cases of central enterprises strengthening their main business through capital operation and giving play to their strategic support and industrial leading functions will be on the rise. (shanghai securities news)Galaxy Securities: Pay attention to investment opportunities in the fields of cement, consumer building materials, glass fiber, etc. The Galaxy Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) Cement: the price continues to push up, and the northern region has entered the winter peak-shifting stage. In November, the weather gradually turned cold, and the downstream market demand dropped slightly. Most provinces in the north have entered the stage of winter peak-shifting and kiln-stopping, and the kiln-stopping rate is above 80%. Under the background of improving supply and demand in the industry, cement enterprises continue to push up cement prices. 2) Consumer building materials: The retail end continued to improve month on month. In October, the retail sales of building and decoration materials decreased by 5.8% year-on-year and increased by 4.9% quarter-on-quarter. Recently, with the stabilization of commercial housing sales, the demand for consumer building materials has improved. 3) Glass fiber: the price of roving rose slightly at the end of the month, and the price of electronic yarn was temporarily stable. In November, the demand for wind power yarn and thermoplastic yarn was stable, but the demand for traditional building materials was still under pressure, which led to the general demand for roving. There are resumption of production and new ignition production lines within the month, and the annual production capacity has increased; Near the end of the month, glass fiber enterprises issued a notice of re-pricing roving and products. It will take some time for the new price to land, but it will have a certain driving effect on demand and price in the short term. 4) Float glass: at the end of the year, work will continue to support the market demand and the inventory of enterprises will be improved. In November, work was rushed to support the demand of float glass terminal, but the middle and lower reaches mainly digested the previous inventory, and the purchasing enthusiasm declined. In the context of the contradiction between supply and demand in the industry, the production capacity has been significantly reduced, and the inventory pressure of float glass enterprises has improved. Suggested attention: Beixin Building Materials, CONCH, China Jushi, etc.
Guotai Junan: The bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. Guotai Junan Securities recently released the prospect of China's equity investment strategy in 2025, and the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. After a long period of continuous adjustment, pessimistic expectation and clear microstructure, it is a prerequisite for the stock market to have valuation flexibility. The positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Galaxy Securities: The 5G+ industrial chain will be developed in a large scale, and the sub-sector prosperity margin will be optimized to improve the quality target. china galaxy Securities said that the demand for communication equipment as the base of the computing infrastructure of the digital economy is expected to usher in high growth, and related sectors may usher in greater opportunities, focusing on the empowerment of related industrial chains by emerging industries such as operators, optical communications, quantum communications and 5G applications. It is suggested to pay attention to: network infrastructure upgrade+telecom operators, optical module leaders, quantum communication leaders, Internet of Things and cutting-edge applications led by central enterprises.New Zealand appoints WINSTON PETERS as Minister of Railways.
Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Korea: We will pay close attention to the financial and foreign exchange market trends and take adequate measures to curb excessive fluctuations in the foreign exchange market.CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.Argentine President Millai: Argentina will abolish capital controls next year.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13